Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.000691 0.000786 0.000886 0.001000 0.001125 0.001258 0.001410
2025-08-31 0.000522 0.000649 0.000793 0.000967 0.001171 0.001400 0.001676
2025-09-07 0.000441 0.000584 0.000752 0.000965 0.001223 0.001524 0.001899
2025-09-14 0.000382 0.000534 0.000721 0.000966 0.001273 0.001642 0.002112
2025-09-21 0.000331 0.000487 0.000687 0.000957 0.001305 0.001733 0.002293
2025-09-28 0.000287 0.000444 0.000652 0.000941 0.001323 0.001805 0.002448
2025-10-05 0.000266 0.000429 0.000651 0.000967 0.001396 0.001946 0.002692
2025-10-12 0.000245 0.000411 0.000645 0.000986 0.001457 0.002072 0.002920
2025-10-19 0.000219 0.000383 0.000621 0.000977 0.001480 0.002147 0.003080
2025-10-26 0.000194 0.000355 0.000595 0.000962 0.001491 0.002206 0.003221
2025-11-02 0.000179 0.000340 0.000587 0.000972 0.001538 0.002312 0.003425
2025-11-09 0.000164 0.000323 0.000574 0.000974 0.001571 0.002401 0.003607
2025-11-16 0.000142 0.000294 0.000540 0.000943 0.001556 0.002421 0.003697
2025-11-23 0.000124 0.000268 0.000510 0.000914 0.001542 0.002443 0.003789
2025-11-30 0.000112 0.000254 0.000496 0.000911 0.001567 0.002519 0.003957
2025-12-07 0.000103 0.000241 0.000486 0.000912 0.001596 0.002602 0.004136
2025-12-14 0.000093 0.000227 0.000470 0.000904 0.001609 0.002661 0.004282
2025-12-21 0.000083 0.000211 0.000451 0.000888 0.001611 0.002703 0.004403
2025-12-28 0.000079 0.000209 0.000457 0.000913 0.001679 0.002844 0.004672
2026-01-04 0.000075 0.000205 0.000458 0.000931 0.001734 0.002968 0.004918
2026-01-11 0.000068 0.000193 0.000444 0.000923 0.001746 0.003025 0.005065
2026-01-18 0.000061 0.000181 0.000428 0.000909 0.001748 0.003066 0.005189
2026-01-25 0.000057 0.000176 0.000425 0.000918 0.001789 0.003170 0.005408